$Vale: Brazilian mining giant with 32.3% upside and 9% dividend yield

Vale (VALE) is a Brazilian mining company and one of the world’s leading producers of iron ore and nickel. Global iron ore prices have fallen by almost a quarter since the start of the year, mainly due to reduced steel demand in China as a result of the country’s real estate crisis. 

Vale’s stock has been hit harder than others in the sector, partly due to the additional risks associated with the Brazilian government’s attempts to interfere in the company’s management transition. However, these risks have now receded and the Chinese authorities have approved a stimulus package to support the economy and the construction sector, which should boost steel demand. This is likely to prompt a positive re-rating of Vale’s stock, which currently trades at a significant discount to its peers. 

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