According to DB’s Jim Reid, futures are pricing in a 69% chance of a 50-basis point rate cut ahead of tonight’s critical decision.

The situation remains highly uncertain, with potential for significant market reactions regardless of the outcome. Reid notes that such a level of unpredictability this close to the decision hasn’t been seen in over 15 years, highlighting the high stakes. He adds that today will be a pivotal day, where substantial gains and losses could occur depending on how the market interprets the Fed’s move.

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